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发表于 2009-11-22 01:38:52
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这个类似于双顶,MACD已经明显背离
也就是说基本上就算冲到高点,也站不住,会掉下来的很快
再加一句,如果这也不是顶的话,呵呵
那么日元就飞上天了,美日要跌到70以下了
猪肉卷别跑 发表于 2009-11-22 01:02 
分析的很好啊,
看了一段老外的分析美日的文章,
Dollar-Yen Broke 89.01 but it did not reach the expected target 88.13, and settled for a bottom only 8 pip below Tuesday's low.
The down movement has slowed down, drawing our attention to what could be a wedge pattern (as displayed on the attached chart),
which is a pattern that could limit the current drop to the bottom of this pattern, or a support that is close to it, and could push price higher on the short-term.
If this scenario turns out to be right, we will rise and break short-term resistance 89.15 where there is Fibonacci 61.8%,
and we will witness a rising move targeting the falling trendline from October 26th top,
and the upper limit of the above mentioned pattern at 89.86 first, and if broken we could see a jump to 90.73.
on the other hand, if the bottom of the pattern at 88.58 is broken, we will target 88.13 which is the last significant support before the last 15 years low 87.10
Support:
• 88.58: the bottom of the supposed wedge formation.
• 88.13: Oct 13th low.
• 87.10: Jan 12th low.
Resistance:
• 89.15: Fibonacci 61.8% for short-term.
• 89.87: the top of the supposed wedge formation.
• 90.73: intraday top. |
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